Think More Clearly

A four-step route through the books that most reliably sharpen judgment — from the biases that trip everyone up to the habits of people who decide well under uncertainty.

1. 1

   Notice how your mind misleads you

   Before you can think better, you need to see the shortcuts your brain takes automatically.

   

   Stumbling on Happiness

   Daniel Gilbert

   25m4.1
2. 2

   Reason with numbers, not feelings

   Most bad judgments are bad estimates. Learn to think in probabilities and base rates.

   

   Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind

   Yuval Noah Harari

   48m4.8
3. 3

   Decide well when you can't be sure

   Good decisions are not the same as good outcomes. Learn to separate the two.

   

   Good to Great

   Jim Collins

   40m4.5
4. 4

   Build your own framework

   Finish with the philosophical tools that turn clear thinking into a lasting worldview.

   

   Letters from a Stoic

   Seneca

   27m4.5